Family: quasibinomial
Link function: logit
Formula:
cbind(n_unemployed, n_employed) ~ education + shock_2008_2009 +
shock_2020 + s(time_index, k = time_k, by = education, bs = "tp",
id = 1) + s(time_index, k = 40, by = interaction(education,
shock_2008_2009), bs = "tp", id = 2) + s(time_index, k = 40,
by = interaction(education, shock_2020), bs = "tp", id = 3) +
s(month, k = 12, bs = "cc") + s(month, k = 12, bs = "cc",
by = education, id = 4)
Parametric coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -3.49663 0.01617 -216.263 < 2e-16 ***
educationhigh_school 0.77973 0.01941 40.180 < 2e-16 ***
educationless_than_hs 0.91651 0.07905 11.595 < 2e-16 ***
educationmasters -0.19281 0.03009 -6.407 1.95e-10 ***
educationphd -0.57118 0.05521 -10.346 < 2e-16 ***
educationprofessional -0.66189 0.05658 -11.698 < 2e-16 ***
educationsome_college 0.58911 0.02138 27.549 < 2e-16 ***
shock_2008_2009 -0.14671 0.06244 -2.350 0.0189 *
shock_2020 1.24432 0.20474 6.078 1.53e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Approximate significance of smooth terms:
edf
s(time_index):educationbachelors 9.299e+01
s(time_index):educationhigh_school 1.105e+02
s(time_index):educationless_than_hs 3.594e+01
s(time_index):educationmasters 7.270e+01
s(time_index):educationphd 4.535e+01
s(time_index):educationprofessional 4.432e+01
s(time_index):educationsome_college 9.926e+01
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.0 9.361e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.0 1.490e-05
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.0 7.793e-07
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.0 4.148e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.0 9.783e-07
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.0 1.018e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.0 1.198e-05
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.1 1.000e+00
s(month) 6.412e+00
s(month):educationbachelors 6.124e+00
s(month):educationhigh_school 6.986e+00
s(month):educationless_than_hs 2.027e+00
s(month):educationmasters 4.793e+00
s(month):educationphd 2.725e+00
s(month):educationprofessional 2.656e+00
s(month):educationsome_college 6.493e+00
Ref.df
s(time_index):educationbachelors 1.116e+02
s(time_index):educationhigh_school 1.279e+02
s(time_index):educationless_than_hs 4.496e+01
s(time_index):educationmasters 8.928e+01
s(time_index):educationphd 5.648e+01
s(time_index):educationprofessional 5.524e+01
s(time_index):educationsome_college 1.177e+02
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.0 1.629e-05
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.0 2.612e-05
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.0 1.343e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.0 7.197e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.0 1.689e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.0 1.758e-06
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.0 2.092e-05
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.0 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.1 1.000e+00
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.1 1.000e+00
s(month) 1.000e+01
s(month):educationbachelors 1.000e+01
s(month):educationhigh_school 1.000e+01
s(month):educationless_than_hs 1.000e+01
s(month):educationmasters 1.000e+01
s(month):educationphd 1.000e+01
s(month):educationprofessional 1.000e+01
s(month):educationsome_college 1.000e+01
F
s(time_index):educationbachelors 56.563
s(time_index):educationhigh_school 122.196
s(time_index):educationless_than_hs 5.197
s(time_index):educationmasters 18.885
s(time_index):educationphd 4.694
s(time_index):educationprofessional 5.014
s(time_index):educationsome_college 88.859
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.0 0.000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.0 0.001
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.0 0.015
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.0 0.000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.0 0.005
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.0 0.000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.0 0.003
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.1 9.982
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.1 5.770
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.1 2.712
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.1 0.946
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.1 0.197
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.1 0.877
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.1 7.363
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.0 0.463
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.0 0.759
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.0 0.220
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.0 0.474
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.0 0.088
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.0 0.133
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.0 0.196
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.1 1.113
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.1 1.773
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.1 0.064
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.1 0.973
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.1 0.247
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.1 0.027
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.1 0.732
s(month) 2.198
s(month):educationbachelors 1.182
s(month):educationhigh_school 0.852
s(month):educationless_than_hs 1.509
s(month):educationmasters 3.973
s(month):educationphd 0.351
s(month):educationprofessional 0.150
s(month):educationsome_college 2.430
p-value
s(time_index):educationbachelors < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationhigh_school < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationless_than_hs < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationmasters < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationphd < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationprofessional < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationsome_college < 2e-16
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.0 0.50000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.0 0.50000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.0 0.50000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.0 1.00000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.0 0.50000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.0 1.00000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.0 0.50000
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.1 0.00161
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.1 0.01641
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.1 0.09979
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.1 0.33079
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.1 0.65754
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.1 0.34915
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.1 0.00673
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.0 0.49635
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.0 0.38384
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.0 0.63883
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.0 0.49110
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.0 0.76736
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.0 0.71564
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.0 0.65776
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.1 0.29156
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.1 0.18319
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.1 0.80036
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.1 0.32396
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.1 0.61905
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.1 0.86911
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.1 0.39229
s(month) < 2e-16
s(month):educationbachelors 4.68e-05
s(month):educationhigh_school 0.00140
s(month):educationless_than_hs < 2e-16
s(month):educationmasters < 2e-16
s(month):educationphd 0.03903
s(month):educationprofessional 0.44543
s(month):educationsome_college < 2e-16
s(time_index):educationbachelors ***
s(time_index):educationhigh_school ***
s(time_index):educationless_than_hs ***
s(time_index):educationmasters ***
s(time_index):educationphd ***
s(time_index):educationprofessional ***
s(time_index):educationsome_college ***
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)bachelors.1 **
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)high_school.1 *
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)less_than_hs.1 .
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)masters.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)phd.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)professional.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2008_2009)some_college.1 **
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.0
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)bachelors.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)high_school.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)less_than_hs.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)masters.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)phd.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)professional.1
s(time_index):interaction(education, shock_2020)some_college.1
s(month) ***
s(month):educationbachelors ***
s(month):educationhigh_school **
s(month):educationless_than_hs ***
s(month):educationmasters ***
s(month):educationphd *
s(month):educationprofessional
s(month):educationsome_college ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Rank: 2210/2224
R-sq.(adj) = 0.979 Deviance explained = 98.7%
fREML = 4720.7 Scale est. = 1.6881 n = 2156